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Thursday, October 29, 2015

Current General Election Match-Up Pollings For 2016 (200th Post)

I've been glancing at the 2016 general election poll match-ups between TheDemocrats and the GOP on, and let me say it's not looking good for the Democrats. Take the Republicans' front runners Donald Trump and Ben Carson and match them up against the Democrats' front runners Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton. The nationwide polls show Trump leading Hillary by 2 points, while Carson is running neck-and-neck with both Bernie and Hillary. While there's no data on the match up between Bernie and Trump, it's very worrying.

My biggest worry is that if Hillary gets the nomination, she'll end up losing the general election in November 2016. This will leave permanent ramifications that the Democrats will not be able to undo. This is not to slam Hillary for running, as I think it helps to expose a lot of the extremism of the Republican base and the party itself. It's more that I think if she gets the nomination, she'll have an uphill struggle in winning a number of crucial states like Iowa and Ohio. That's in addition to holding onto a number of Blue States like Connecticut and Michigan if pitted against Carson, who has some ability to pull into the Democratic base for votes, and she can't really campaign against him effectively without being called a racist. Basically, that's the biggest worry for me, is that if Hillary's nominated, the election is pretty much lost.

Prospects are not much brighter for Bernie Sanders, the polls show him as almost not registering on people's radar.

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